(1) Rising
instability in the
Balkans, 1903-1911
1903
Serbia.Austria-Hungary.
==Jun.10 > Brutal military
coup in
Serbia [200.AM]: the pro-Austrian Obrenovich Dynasty is
overthrown;
the unpopular King Alexander and Queen Draga are murdered - the
Karageorgevich
Dynasty is restored
1904
Serbia.Austria-Hungary.
==Jan.--- > Serbia places a large
arms
order with France and resists Austrian pressure to cancel it - the
start
of overt Serbian-Austrian friction
Ottoman Empire.Germany.
==early.1904 > The Turks begin
the construction
of the Hejaz Railway (Damascus to Medina) under the direction of German
engineers
Macedonia.Bulgaria.Ottoman
Empire.
==Apr.08 > Bulgaria and the
Ottoman Empire
reach an accord in the wake of the failed Macedonian revolt of 1903 -
the
Turks pledge to implement reform in Macedonia and Bulgaria agrees to
suppress
Macedonian terrorists
Serbia.Bulgaria.Austria-Hungary.
==Apr.12(OS?) > Secret
Serbian-Bulgarian
military accords lead to improved relations - Austria-Hungary is
troubled
Macedonia.Europe.
==summer > The Mürzsteg
Accord goes
into effect in Macedonia, authorizing a gendarmerie under foreign
officers
- but chaos continues
Balkans.Austria-Hungary.Russia.
==late.Oct > Russo-Austrian
neutrality
pact on Balkans
1905
Greece.Europe.
==Mar.30 > At Therissos in Crete,
the
local political leader Venizelos proclaims union with Greece and
launches
a revolt against High Commissioner Prince George and the occupation
forces
of the powers
==Apr.21 > The Cretan Assembly
backs Venizelos'
revolt and proclaims union - the Cretans clash with the powers’
occupying
troops
Macedonia.Europe.Ottoman
Empire.
==May.08 > An international
commission
is established to oversee Macedonian finances - it is thwarted by the
Turks
Romania.Ottoman
Empire.
==May.23 > The arrest of Romanian
school
inspectors by the Turks in Yannina provokes a crisis
Serbia.Bulgaria.Austria-Hungary.
==Jun.22(OS?) > Secret
Serbian-Bulgarian
commercial treaty, to go into effect in Mar.1906, the first step
towards
a virtual economic union by 1917 - the accord provokes Austrian
pressure
against Serbia
Macedonia.Europe.Ottoman
Empire.
The European powers pressure the Turks to impose reform in Macedonia:
==Nov.11 > The powers stage a
naval demonstration
off of the Straits
==Nov.26 > The powers send five
warships
to seize Mytilene (Lesbos)
==Dec.05 > The powers’ naval
squadron
seizes Lemnos customs house - the Ottoman regime soon agrees to reform
Macedonian finances
==Dec.16 > The Turks accept an
international
control plan for Macedonia - the powers evacuate Lemnos
Croatia.Serbia.Austria-Hungary.
==Nov.18 > Leaders of the Croats
and Serbs
under Hapsburg rule meet at Zara to promote a south Slav union, and
declare
that “Serbs and Croats are one nation”
Serbia.Austria-Hungary.
==1905 > The Slavonic South
society
is established by Serbian nationalists in Belgrade - the group becomes
active in Austria-Hungary
1906
Serbia.Austria-Hungary.
==Jan.--- > Austria boycotts
Serbian goods
to apply pressure against the ratification of the Serbian-Bulgarian
trade
pact
==Feb.--- > Serbia drops its
trade pact
with Bulgaria, but refuses further commercial demands from Austria
==Mar.01 > The Austro-Serbian
commercial
treaty lapses - the commercial ‘Pig War’ to 1909, as Austria tries
to
dominate the Serbian economy
Britain.Russia.Ottoman
Empire.
==Nov.--- > Britain hints at
willingness
to discuss the Russian role in the Straits - Anglo-Russian talks pick
up
Balkans.Russia.
==1906 > Reviving Russian
activity
in the Balkans and influence in Serbia
Serbia.
==1906 > The Nacertanije
(a memo
from 1844 defining Serbian goals for regional hegemony) is made public
1907
Russia.Britain.Ottoman
Empire.
==mid.Mar > Grey secretly informs
Russia
that Britain is no longer opposed to Russian warships passing the
Straits
into the Mediterranean
Bulgaria.Austria-Hungary.
==summer > Austria dissuades
Ferdinand
of Bulgaria from proclaiming independence from the Ottoman Empire
Serbia.Austria-Hungary.
==Oct.--- > Austrian Foreign
Minister
Aehrenthal temporarily supports a conciliatory policy towards Serbia
Austria-Hungary.Russia.Ottoman
Empire.
==Oct.--- > Russian Foreign
Minister Izvolsky
discusses the revision of the Straits Treaty with a non-committal
Aehrenthal
Bosnia.Austria-Hungary.
==Nov.18 > Austrian Chief of
Staff Conrad
urges Aehrenthal to annex Bosnia in preparation for a war against
Italy,
while downplaying the prospect of Russian intervention
==Dec.11 > The Austrian Council
of Ministers
discusses annexing Bosnia - Aehrenthal and Conrad favor an aggressive
policy
Macedonia.Europe.Ottoman
Empire.
==Dec.--- > British Foreign
Secretary
Grey suggests driving the Turks from Macedonia and imposing reform -
Austria
and Russia are annoyed by the proposal
January-June
1908
Bosnia.Austria-Hungary.
==Jan.27 > Austria announces
plans for
a Sanjak-Salonika railroad - the scheme is supported by the Ottoman
Sultan,
but opposed by the Entente and the Serbs
Russia.Ottoman
Empire.
==Feb.03 > Russian Foreign
Minister Izvolsky
proposes an Anglo-Russian seizure of the Straits to the Russian Council
of Ministers - his plan is turned down
Bulgaria.Austria-Hungary.
==Mar.--- > Aehrenthal's
overtures to
Bulgaria - Austria makes reassurances in the event that the status quo
in the Balkans is abandoned
Macedonia.Europe.Ottoman
Empire.
==Mar.--- > British Foreign
Secretary
Grey proposes autonomy for Macedonia
Bosnia.Austria-Hungary.
==Apr.--- > Austrian Governor
Burrian
advocates the annexation of Bosnia
Macedonia.Europe.Ottoman
Empire.
==Jun.09-10 > Edward VII and the
Czar
cordially meet at Reval (Tallin) - plans to install a mostly European
administration
in Macedonia under an Ottoman governor to be approved by the powers -
Germany
and the dissident Ottoman CUP are angered
July-August
1908
Bosnia.Austria-Hungary.Russia.Ottoman
Empire.
==Jul.02 > Russian Foreign
Minister Izvolsky
offers to support the Austrian annexation of Bosnia if Austria backs
Russian
designs on the Straits
Ottoman Empire.
==Jul.23-25 > The Young Turk
revolt
in the Ottoman Empire ends autocratic rule by the Sultan
Bosnia.Austria-Hungary.
==late.Jul > Austrian foreign
Minister
Aehrenthal decides to annex Bosnia, in the face of the impending
convening
of an Ottoman Parliament
Greece.Europe.
==Jul.27 > The powers withdraw
their peacekeeping
force from Crete
Bulgaria.Austria-Hungary.
==Aug.05 > Aehrenthal hints to
Ferdinand
that Austria would back Bulgarian independence if the Balkan status quo
is upset
Bosnia.Austria-Hungary.
==Aug.19 > Aehrenthal suggests to
the
Council of Ministers that Austria annex Bosnia and evacuate Sanjak; the
proposal is quickly accepted - Conrad assures the Council that “Russia
was presently not capable of fighting a Warx.”
Bosnia.Austria-Hungary.Russia.Ottoman
Empire.
==Aug.29 > Austria proposes a
pact with
Russia on Bosnia and the Straits
September
1908
Balkans.Austria-Hungary.Italy.
==Sep.04 > Aehrenthal tells Italy
to keep
out of Albania and to not expect compensation if Bosnia is annexed -
but
promises that there will be no surprises
Bulgaria.Ottoman
Empire.
==Sep.12 > The Ottoman regime
snubs Bulgaria
- the Bulgarian envoy to the Turks is soon recalled
Bosnia.Austria-Hungary.Russia.Ottoman
Empire.
==Sep.15-16 > The
Russian-Austrian
Buchlau Conference: Izvolsky (who assumes that the pact will be
submitted
to a European conference) backs the eventual Austrian annexation of
Bosnia
in return for vague promises by Aehrenthal of support for the Russian
control
of the Straits
Bulgaria.Ottoman
Empire.
==Sep.19 > Bulgaria nationalizes
Turkish
railroads within Bulgarian territory
Bulgaria.Austria-Hungary.
==Sep.23-24 > Ferdinand meets
Aehrenthal
in Budapest - evidently, Austria supports Bulgarian independence
Russia.Ottoman
Empire.Germany.
==Sep.26 > Izvolsky meets German
Foreign
Minister Schon - Schon agrees to Russian control of the Straits if
Germany
is compensated
Russia.Ottoman
Empire.Italy.
==Sep.29-30 > A conference
between Izvolsky
and Italian Foreign Minister Tittoni is held at Desio - Italy backs
Russian
ambitions in the Straits in return for Russian support for Italian
goals
in Tripoli and Albania
Bosnia.Austria-Hungary.
==Sep.29 > Austria informs its
ambassadors
of its impending annexation of Bosnia
October
1908
Russia.
==Oct.02 > The details of Buchlau
Agreement
are revealed to the dismayed Russian Council of Ministers
Bosnia.Austria-Hungary.International.
==Oct.03 > The first hints of the
impending
Austrian annexation of Bosnia leak to the public via the French press
==Oct.04-05 > Austria formally
notifies
Germany and other signatories of the Berlin Treaty that Bosnia is about
to be annexed
Bulgaria.Ottoman
Empire.
==Oct.05 > Ferdinand
proclaims Bulgarian
independence from the Ottoman Empire [1100.AM], entitling
himself
‘tsar’ - the Bulgarian public is not completely enthusiastic
Bosnia.Austria-Hungary.International.
==Oct.06 > Austria annexes
Bosnia:
THE BOSNIAN CRISIS to Apr.1909 - Austrian Foreign Minister
Aehrenthal
dupes Russian Foreign Minister Izvolsky - Russia, Serbia, the
Turks,
and Italy are enraged - ~Serbian agitation against Austria intensifies
Greece.
==Oct.07 > A pro-Greek revolt
erupts in
Crete
Serbia.Austria-Hungary.
==Oct.08 > Serbian
nationalists establish
the secret Narodna Odbrana (National Defense) society at
Belgrade
City Hall; they soon form networks of terrorists throughout the
southern
Slav lands
Russia.Ottoman
Empire.Britain.
==Oct.09-14 > Izvolsky visits
London,
but he fails to secure British support - his hopes for securing Russian
control of the Straits are dashed
Greece.
==Oct.12 > Led by Venizelos, the
Cretan
assembly proclaims a union with Greece, but Greek Premier Theotokis
hesitates
and looses the chance of union
Bosnia.Austria-Hungary.Russia.Germany.
==Oct.22 > Aehrenthal, backed by
Germany,
rejects the proposed European conference on Bosnia, thwarting Izvolsky
Serbia.Russia.
==Oct.28 > The Serbian crown
prince visits
St. Petersburg, where he is greeted by enthusiastic crowds
Austria-Hungary.Germany.
==Oct.30 > Bülow offers
Aehrenthal
full German support in the Bosnian Crisis
November-December
1908
Serbia.Russia.
==Nov.02 > Serbia is aware that
Russia
won't go to war over Bosnia
Britain.Germany.
==Nov.05 > Grey advises the
Admiralty
to keep in readiness in case war breaks out against Germany
Britain.Russia.
==Nov.10 > Grey declines to
clarify whether
Britain would back Russia in a war against Austria and Germany
Ottoman Empire.Britain.
==Nov.--- > A CUP (Young Turk)
delegation
to London fails to secure a British alliance for the Ottoman Empire
Italy.
==Dec.09 > The King of Italy,
disgusted
by the Austrian annexation of Bosnia, tells the American ambassador
that
treaties are only “worth the value of the paper. The only real
strength
lies in bayonets and cannon.”
==Dec.--- > The Italian
Parliament’s debate
on the Balkan situation is criticized by conservatives, who deny that
Parliament
has any right to discuss foreign policy
Russia.Germany.
==Dec.10 > Russian War Minister
Rediger
speculates to the German attaché that Germany is provoking a war
“to decide all pending questions together” and admits “It is out of the
question for Russia to fight a war on account of the Serbs.” - the
Kaiser
writes on the report “this would be the best moment to settle accounts
with the Russians.”
Russia.Ottoman
Empire.Balkans.
==Dec.25 > Speaking to the Duma,
Russian
Foreign Minister Izvolsky calls for an unrealistic Balkan-Turkish
League
Serbia.Austria-Hungary.
==Dec.--- > Austria partially,
‘secretly’
mobilizes against Serbia
January
1909
Russia.Balkans.
==Jan.16 > The German ambassador
reports
that Russian Foreign Minister Izvolsky has warned that Balkan tensions
will ultimately be resolved by war: “Perhaps this conflict will not
break
out for five or ten years, but it is inevitable...”
Austria-Hungary.Germany.
==Jan.21 > Moltke and Conrad, the
German
and Austrian Chiefs of Staff, begin corresponding - Moltke promises
that
if Austria attacks Serbia and is attacked by Russia, Germany will
intervene
even if France is drawn in: Germany is committed to a general war -
the German-Austrian alliance effectively changes from defensive to
offensive,
with Austria allowed to control events
Austria-Hungary.Italy.
==Jan.29 > Aehrenthal refuses a
pre-emptive
attack on Italy, telling the agressive Conrad “Today, one does not
fight
preventive wars.”
February
1909
Serbia.Austria-Hungary.
==Feb.16 > Serbia mobilizes
against Austria-Hungary
Austria-Hungary.
==Feb.18 > Conrad lectures
Aehrenthal
that only war and military victory can restore Austria’s prestige
Bulgaria.Russia.
==Feb.21 > Ferdinand of Bulgaria
is recognized
as ‘tsar’ in a visit to St Petersburg - he seeks Russian aid in paying
off the Turks
Russia.France.
==Feb.26 > France urges Russia to
back
down on Bosnia
Austria-Hungary.Ottoman
Empire.
==Feb.26 > Austrian-Turkish pact:
the
Turks recognize the Austrian annexation of Bosnia and receive
compensation
Serbia.Russia.
==Feb.27 > Russia advises Serbia
to drop
its demands for compensation from Austria and to make no provocative
military
moves on the border
March
1909
Serbia.Europe.
==Mar.02 > The powers pressure
Serbia
to accept the Austrian annexation of Bosnia
Serbia.Austria-Hungary.
==early.Mar > ~Austrian troops
are massing
on the Serbian frontier
Russia.Austria-Hungary.Germany.
==Mar.08 > Guchkov reveals to the
Duma
that the the Russian army is completely unprepared to fight over Bosnia
- Germany and Austria are emboldened
Serbia.Austria-Hungary.
==Mar.10 > A Serbian note to the
powers
renounces compensation from Austria for its annexation of Bosnia -
Austria
is not satisfied; backed by Germany she demands direct Serbian
assurances
- the crisis intensifies
Russia.Germany.
==Mar.14 > Germany offers to
Russia to
broker a settlement of the Bosnia Crisis
Serbia.Austria-Hungary.Germany.
==Mar.17 > The Kaiser eagerly
supports
an Austrian invasion of Serbia
Russia.Germany.Austria-Hungary.
==Mar.17 > The Russian Council of
Ministers
decides that Russia is entirely unable to support Serbia in the event
of
war - Foreign Minister Izvolsky vaguely replies to German demands (or
Mar.13
and Mar.20)
==Mar.21 > A German ultimatum
to Russia
demands that Russia recognize the Austrian annexation of Bosnia and
cease
aiding Serbia or “things will take their course” - Germany is
entirely
committed to propping up Austria
==Mar.22 > Russia yields to
the German
ultimatum and recognizes the Austrian annexation of Bosnia - the
end of the Bosnian Crisis - deep Russian bitterness toward Germany and
Austria
Croatia.Austria-Hungary.
==Mar.25 > The Austrian historian
Friedjung
publishes an article accusing the Serb-Croat Coalition in Croatia of
treasonable
collusion with Serbia
Serbia.Austria-Hungary.
==Mar.29 > Austria orders a
partial mobilization
against Serbia
==Mar.31 > Serbia submits to
the Austrian
annexation of Bosnia, and is compelled to pledge friendship to
Austria
April-December
1909
Bulgaria.Ottoman
Empire.
==Apr.19 > The Turks recognize
Bulgarian
independence
Bulgaria.Europe.
==Apr.27 > Germany, Austria, and
Italy
recognize Bulgarian independence
Bulgaria.Russia.
==Apr.--- > Russia agrees to pay
part
of Bulgaria’s compensation to the Turks - increased Russian influence
in
Bulgaria
Serbia.Austria-Hungary.
==Jun.--- > The Austro-Serbian
commercial
pact is ‘provisionally’ renewed, ending the economic ‘Pig War’ -
Austria
abandons the attempt to dominate Serbia’s economy
Greece.Europe.Ottoman
Empire.
Crete makes another attempt at unifying with Greece:
==mid.Jul > The powers announce
their
intent to entirely withdraw from Crete, but warn against reunion with
Greece
==Jul.26 > The powers evacuate
Crete
==Jul.29 > Cretan nationalists
again proclaim
union with Greece
==end.Jul > Greek nationalists
bring down
the Theotokis government after it ignores the Cretan proclamation for
reunion
with Greece - ~the Turks force the new Raillis government to disavow
any
attempt at a Greek union with Crete
Ottoman Empire.Europe.
==Jul.--- > An Ottoman
parliamentary mission
leaves for Paris and London to propose that an international parliament
for peace be located in Constantinople - the mission fails to secure a
western alliance
Macedonia.Greece.Ottoman
Empire.
==mid.Aug > ~The Turks force the
Greek
Raillis government to disavow Greek activity in Macedonia
Italy.Russia.Ottoman
Empire.
==Oct.24 > The Racconigi
Agreement: Italy
agrees to back Russia’s Straits policy in return for support for
Italian
designs on Tripoli; the accord is directed against Austria
Austria-Hungary.Balkans.
==late.Nov. > Foreign Minister
Aehrenthal
pressures Emperor Franz Joseph into forbidding military espionage
missions,
crippling the the Austrian intelligence services and rendering Austria
‘militarily blind’, especially in the Balkans
Bulgaria.Russia.
==Nov.--- > Draft
Russian-Bulgarian alliance
Bulgaria.Germany.
==late.Dec > The Kaiser playfully
slaps
Tsar Ferdinand on the butt - Bulgaria drops a deal with Krupp and buys
French arms instead
Balkans.Italy.Austria-Hungary.
==Dec.--- > Austria and Italy
agree to
consult on any changes in the Balkans
Bulgaria.Russia.Austria-Hungary.
==Dec.--- > Bulgaria raises a
large Austrian
loan, angering Russia
Serbia.Russia.Austria-Hungary.
==1909 > The Pan-Slav zealot
Hartwig is
named Russian ambassador to Belgrade, where he encourages Serbian
defiance
of Austria
Ottoman Empire.Germany.
==1909 > General Goltz is sent by
Germany
to advise the Ottoman Army - the start of German military influence
over the Turks
1910
Balkans.Russia.Austria-Hungary.
==Feb.--- > Partial, superficial
Russian-Austrian
reconciliation - they agree to maintain the status quo in the Balkans
Albania.Ottoman
Empire.
==late.Mar-1912 > Large-scale
Albanian
revolts against the Turks
Ottoman Empire.Britain.
==Mar.29 > The British ambassador
in Constantinople
reports that the ruling CUP is controlled by pro-American Jewish
Freemasons
- Britain thoroughly misunderstands Turkish affairs
Romania.Austria-Hungary.
==spring > Austro-Romanian
military talks:
Romanian forces are to deploy on the Austrian right flank in Galicia in
the event of war
Bosnia.Serbia.Austria-Hungary.
==Jun.15 > The Serbian student
Zerajic
kills himself after attempting to kill the Governor of Bosnia - the
start of Serbian nationalist terrorism against Austria
Bulgaria.France.
==Jun.--- > Ferdinand of
Bulgaria’s triumphant
state visit to France, where he becomes the first monarch to fly in an
airplane
Serbia.Austria-Hungary.
==Aug.--- > The Serbian Foreign
Minister
confides to Aehrenthal that the Serbian government desires Austrian
friendship
and wants to suppress anti-Austrian nationalist agitation
Ottoman Empire.France.
==Oct.--- > France refuses a
much-needed
loan to the Ottoman Empire - ~Turkish demonstrations against France and
Britain
Balkans.Austria-Hungary.
==fall > Aehrenthal defends his
Balkan
policies to the Austrian Delegations: “Austria desires peace and the
maintenance
of equilibrium.”
Serbia.Ottoman Empire.
==late.1910 > The Turkish
nationalist
CUP secretly meets with the Serbian nationalist Narodna Odbrana
in Belgrade
Balkans.Russia.Germany.
==Nov.03-04 > The tentative
Russo-German
Potsdam Agreement: among other issues, Germany promises not to support
Austrian ambitions in the Balkans - the accord soon collapses
1911
Bulgaria.Austria-Hungary.
==Apr.--- > Franz Joseph names
Ferdinand
of Bulgaria a Knight of the Golden Fleece - ~Bulgaria is effectively
playing
Russia off against Austria
Serbia.
==May.09-22 > The secret
terrorist
Black Hand organization is established by Serbian nationalists
(also
known as ‘Unity or Death’), partly funded by the Serbian Crown Prince -
it largely replaces Narodna Odbrana
Montenegro.Russia.Ottoman
Empire.
==May.23 > Russia warns the Turks
to withdraw
their troops from the frontier of Montenegro
Albania.Ottoman
Empire.
==Jul.21 > A southern Albanian
congress
at Gjirokastër demands that any Turkish concessions to the north
be
extended to the south as well
==early.Aug > An Ottoman-Albanian
settlement
is reached: the Turks extend concessions to all of Albania, but reject
autonomy - the Albanian revolt again temporarily eases
Ottoman Empire.Britain.
==Jul.31 > Britain proposes to
internationalize
the Baghdad-Basra railroad - the Turks eventually refuse
Bulgaria.
==summer > The ambitious Tsar
Ferdinand
gains full control of Bulgarian foreign policy
Italy.Ottoman
Empire.
==Sep.29-Oct.1912 > The
Tripolitanian
War: an Italian-Turkish war is ignited by an Italian invasion of
Libya
Ottoman Empire.Russia.
==Oct.02 > Russian Ambassador
Charykov
proposes that the Turks agree to a Balkan League and to Russian naval
access
to the Straits in return for a Russian guarantee of Turkey-in-Europe;
the
Turks are unenthused - on Nov.02, the proposals are blocked by the
British
- on Dec.06, Foreign Minister Sazonov repudiates the scheme
Bulgaria.Serbia.
==Oct.--- > Serbia and Bulgaria
begin
discussing an alliance, encouraged by the Russian ambassador
Ottoman Empire.Britain.
==end.1911 > Ottoman Finance
Minister
Djavid proposes a permanent Anglo-Turkish alliance - only Churchill
shows
any interest, and he is restrained by the Foreign Office
Albania.Ottoman
Empire.
==Dec.--- > Albanian deputies in
the Ottoman
Parliament demand autonomy, provoking an angry debate - Albanian
leaders
begin preparations for a renewed revolt
Greece.France.
==1911 > Venizelos invites a
French military
training mission - Greece is aligning with the Entente
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