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(2) The
Preliminary Stage,
June 28 - July 22, 1914
June 28
Bosnia.
==[1034.AM] > FRANZ
FERDINAND
IS ASSASSINATED in Sarajevo with his wife by the young Serbian
nationalist
Gavrilo Princip - ~few signs of real grief are observed either in
Vienna
or abroad
Austria-Hungary.
==[early afternoon] > Upon
learning
of the assassination, Austrian Emperor Franz Joseph says “...the
All-Powerful
cannot be defied...”
Germany.
==[230.PM] > News of Franz
Ferdinand’s
assassination reaches the Kaiser while he’s racing his yacht at
Kiel
==[evening] > A Munich mob
demolishes
the Café Fahrig when the band refuses to play the patriotic Die
Wacht am Rhein
Austria-Hungary.
==[night] > In Vienna, the
well-connected
Redlich writes in his diary: “It must now be clear to everyone that
peaceful
coexistence is impossible to achieve between (Austria) and a Balkan
nationalism
roused to a fanatical lust for murder.”
==Austrian Chief of Staff Conrad
writes
his mistress that the impending war “will be a hopeless struggle, but
nevertheless
it must be because such an ancient monarchy and such an ancient army
cannot
perish ingloriously.”
June 29
Serbia.
==Serbian Premier Pasic denounces
the
terrorist Black Hand group and orders all public meeting places closed
- Belgrade wires its condolences to Vienna
==The Secretary of the Austrian
Legation
in Belgrade implicates the Serbs in Franz Ferdinand’s assassination
Bosnia.
==(end.Jun) > The Bosnian
Parliament condemns
the assassination, and is then dissolved by Austria-Hungary…
permanently
Austria-Hungary.
==Anti-Serb riots erupt in Vienna,
in
Brünn, in Sarajevo and throughout Bosnia
==Hungarian Premier Tisza tells
Berchtold
that war would be a fatal mistake - Berchtold’s initial stance is
moderate;
he resists Conrad’s call for mobilization and decides to take no overt
action until after the French leaders end their trip to Russia on
Jul.23
Britain.
==King George V decrees seven days
of
mourning for the slain Franz Ferdinand
Russia.
==The Czar orders twelve days of
mourning
for Franz Ferdinand
June 30
Serbia.Austria-Hungary.
==[night] > Serbian
newspapers
falsely report that mass murders of Serbs are occurring in Bosnia -
~strident
mutual attacks by the Austrian and Serbian press through July
Austria-Hungary.
==From Vienna, Russian Ambassador
Schebeko
erroneously predicts that “...at least in the immediate future the
course
of Austro-Hungarian policy will be more restrained and calm”, and notes
that the assassination hasn’t affected the Vienna Stock Exchange -
there
is widespread confidence in continued peace
==Growing bellicose, Berchtold now
speaks
of the need for a “final and fundamental reckoning” with Serbia - for
several
days, he tries to launch a quick strike
Germany.
==A report to Berlin from German
Ambassador
Tschirschky in Vienna urges caution
July 1
Austria-Hungary.
==The Austrian battleship Viribus
Unitis
arrives at Trieste with the bodies of Franz Ferdinand and his
wife
==Hungarian Premier Tisza appeals to
Franz
Joseph for caution
Austria-Hungary.Germany.
==(to Jul.04) > German reporters,
probably
secretly speaking for the officially cautious Ambassador Tschirschky,
urge
Austria to get tough with Serbia - Austria is unsure of Germany’s
attitude
July 2
Bosnia.
==Princip and two of his cohorts
agree
to make full confessions, revealing Serbian involvement in the
assassination
Austria-Hungary.
==An eyewitness reassures Franz
Joseph
that the murdered Archduke bore himself “Like a soldier.”
Austria-Hungary.Germany.
==In Vienna, German Ambassador
Tschirschky
assures Berchtold and Franz Joseph of German support - the Emperor
tells
Tschirschky “I see a very dark future.”
Germany.
==Fearful of assassination, Kaiser
Wilhelm
declines to attend Franz Ferdinand’s funeral
July 3
Germany.
==The Kaiser writes comments on
Ambassador
Tschirschky’s cautious report of Jun.30 from Vienna: “The Serbs must be
disposed of, and that right soon!”
July 4
Germany.
==[afternoon] > The German
Foreign
Office receives the Tschirschky report with the Kaiser’s angry notes
and
begins to adopt a hard line against Serbia
Austria-Hungary.
==Franz Ferdinand is given a ‘third
class
funeral’ at Artstetten
Austria-Hungary.Germany.
==Envoy Hoyos leaves from Vienna for
Berlin
with memos on Austria’s plans to crush Serbia, seeking full German
support
July 5
Austria-Hungary.
==Austrian Chief of Staff Conrad
tries
to convince a wary Franz Joseph that war with Serbia is
unavoidable
Germany.Austria-Hungary.
==[midday] > Austrian
Ambassador
Szögyény presents the tough Austrian memos to Kaiser
Wilhelm
- the Kaiser gives a ‘blank check’ to Austria, pledging full German
support against Serbia and Russia, without serious discussion or
coordination
==[afternoon-morning.Jul.06]
>
The Kaiser informs his generals and Chancellor Bethmann of his support
for the hard-line Austrian response to Serbia, but makes no war
preparations
==(to Jul.06) > Germany finally
agrees
to ally with Bulgaria after a plea from Austria
July 6
Germany.Austria-Hungary.
==[915.AM] > The Kaiser
departs
on a yacht trip off Norway until Jul.26 - ~many German and Austrian
leaders
take holidays, to avoid giving the appearance that a crisis is
looming
==[afternoon] > Bethmann
confirms
Germany’s full support to Austrian Ambassador Szögyény and
envoy Hoyos, saying it would be better to go to war with Serbia now
rather
than later
Britain.
==British Foreign Secretary Grey is
warned
by German Ambassador Lichnowsky that Austria could attack Serbia, with
German support - the first hint to the Entente of the gravity of
the
Serbian situation
July 7
Austria-Hungary.
==[1130.AM-615.PM] >
Assured of
German support, most of the Austrian Council of Ministers supports a
war
with Serbia despite possible Russian intervention, with only Tisza in
opposition
- Berchtold has grown wary of a Bulgarian alliance
Germany.
==Chancellor Bethmann
comments that “An action against Serbia can lead to world war.”
July 8
Austria-Hungary.Germany.
==German Ambassador Tschirschky
urges
Austria to quickly attack Serbia, before Russia can intervene - an
Austrian
official comments “We are completely one with Berlin.”
Austria-Hungary.
==In the Hungarian assembly, Tisza
makes
a somber speech on the situation with Serbia
Germany.
==Bethmann hopes the crisis will
divide
the Entente
Britain.
==Grey warns Russia and France that
the
Serbian crisis could lead to war, telling Russian Ambassador
Benckendorff
that the possibility “makes my hair stand on end.”
July 9
Austria-Hungary.
==Franz Joseph receives investigator
Wiesner’s
initial report on the assassination - Berchtold notes that the aged
Emperor
seems ready for action against Serbia
Germany.
==After Chancellor Bethmann briefs
him
on the Serbian situation, German Interior Minister Delbrück
comments
“That is war,” and quietly begins preparations
Britain.
==Grey admits to German Ambassador
Lichnowsky
that Britain has long been holding military talks with France and
Russia
- Grey is confident that the Serbian crisis won’t provoke a general war
- Foreign Office Undersecretary Nicolson writes: “...I expect the storm
will soon blow over.”
July 10
Serbia.
==Russian Ambassador Hartwig dies
suddenly
of a heart attack at the Austrian Legation in Belgrade
Austria-Hungary.
==Austria has composed the basics of
its
ultimatum to Serbia, including a 48-hour deadline and terms that have
deliberately
been made unacceptable
Britain.
==Grey extends sympathy to
Austria-Hungary,
in the only mention of the crisis made in the House of Commons until
Jul.27
Italy.
==General Cadorna is appointed
Italian
Chief of Staff
July 11
Germany.
==The Kaiser wishes King Peter of
Serbia
a happy birthday
July 12
Germany.Austria-Hungary.
==Under German pressure, Ambassador
Szögyény
in Berlin urges Berchtold to act quickly against Serbia
Germany.Britain.
==Berlin orders German Ambassador
Lichnowsky
to encourage British neutrality and to avoid giving the impression that
Germany is pushing Austria into a war
July 13
Bosnia.
==[early afternoon] >
Austrian
investigator Wiesner reports from Sarajevo that there is no evidence
linking
the Serbian government to the assassination
Serbia.
==Rumors circulate that the Austrian
Legation
in Belgrade is about to be attacked
Austria-Hungary.Germany.
==German Ambassador Tschirschky
warns
Berchtold that if Austria fails to act against Serbia, it will loose
its
Great Power status and could possibly loose the support of Germany
Germany.
==(to Jul.16) > Canadian Pacific
Railway
shares plummet in the Berlin Stock Exchange
France.
==(to Jul.14) > Angry debates in
the French
Senate over military preparedness - Senator Humbert reveals enormous
French
deficiencies relative to Germany
Britain.
==(to Jul.25) > Britain calls up
20,000
naval reservists for a Royal Navy test mobilization in place of the
usual
summer fleet maneuvers
July 14
Austria-Hungary.
==After Tisza finally yields, the
Austrian
Council of Ministers agrees to send an impossible 48-hour ultimatum to
Serbia on Jul.25, hoping to provoke a localized conflict
==Berchtold reassures Berlin “that
there
was not a thought of hesitation or uncertainty in existence
here.”
July 15
Austria-Hungary.
==Tisza ominously tells the
Hungarian
Assembly that relations with Serbia “must be clarified.”
==(mid.Jul) > Austria quietly
begins war
preparations: Austrian batteries near Belgrade are issued accurate maps
of the Serbian capital
United States.
==(mid.Jul) > ~Large gold
shipments are
moving from America to Europe
July 16
Germany.
==From London, German Ambassador
Lichnowsky
warns Bethmann that an Austrian attack on Serbia will draw in Russia
and
lead to a general war - he is ignored
France.
==French President Poincaré
and
Prime Minister Viviani sail for Russia on an official visit
Britain.
==From Vienna, British Ambassador
Bunsen
reports Austria’s designs on Serbia to a startled Foreign Secretary
Grey
==The London Times denounces
Serbia’s
press campaign against Austria
Bulgaria.Austria-Hungary.
==Austria seeks a Bulgarian
alliance,
but its Minister in Sofia fails to meet with Tsar Ferdinand
Italy.
==Italy urges Russia to stand firm
against
Austria - ~the astute Italian Foreign Minister San Giuliano becomes the
first foreign observer to discern what Austria is planning
July 17
Austria-Hungary.
==Austria receives a report that
Serbia
is mobilizing 70,000 reservists - the delivery of the Austrian
ultimatum
is advanced to Jul.23
Britain.
==Lloyd George gives a speech at
Mansion
House showing little concern for any threat of war
Ottoman Empire.
==The Turks are informed by their
Ambassador
in Berlin that war is unavoidable
July 18
Russia.Austria-Hungary.
==Russian Foreign Minister Sazonov
warns
Austria not to try to intimidate Serbia - Ambassador
Szápáry
responds reassuringly
Germany.Russia.
==(to Jul.19) > In Britain, the
alarmed
German Ambassador Lichnowsky warns Russian Ambassador Benckendorff that
the Serbian situation is growing very dangerous
Ottoman Empire.Germany.
==The German Ambassador in
Constantinople
cables that “Without doubt, Turkey today is totally incapable of
carrying
out an alliance.”
July 19
Britain.
==[morning] > King George
V reviews
the fleet as it departs Portsmouth for maneuvers - Churchill describes
it as “incomparably the greatest assemblage of naval power ever
witnessed
in the world.”
Austria-Hungary.
==[1000.AM] > In a secret
meeting,
the Austrian Council of Ministers approves the final text of the
Serbian
ultimatum and fixes its date for delivery at Jul.23
Germany.
==German Foreign Minister Jagow
publishes
a communiqué calling on the powers to prevent a general
crisis
while Austria chastises Serbia: the first public hint of the
impending
crisis - the powers begin to grow alarmed
==Still yachting off of Norway, the
Kaiser
is warned that the crisis will soon break - he orders that the German
fleet
remain assembled in a state of readiness
July 20
Serbia.
==In a circular note to the powers,
Serbian
Premier Pasic pledges to help to prosecute those involved in the
assassination,
so long as Austrian demands don’t compromise Serbian sovereignty
Austria-Hungary.
==The Austrian ultimatum is sent to
its
Belgrade embassy with instructions
Russia.France.
==(to Jul.23) > Poincaré
and Viviani
visit St. Petersburg
Britain.Russia.
==(to Jul.22) > Grey cautiously
suggests
to Russia that it hold direct talks with Austria
July 21
Austria-Hungary.
==Austria holds conferences on
Serbia
at Ischl and at Budapest - Franz Joseph predicts “Russia cannot swallow
it. There’s no mistake about it, it will be a big war.”
Germany.
==Foreign Minister Jagow warns the
uneasy
Entente diplomats against interfering in the Serbian crisis and denies
any knowledge of the terms of the Austrian demands (see Jul.22)
Germany.France.
==French Ambassador Jules Cambon
reports
from Berlin on early signs of German war preparations
Russia.Germany.
==Russian Foreign Minister Sazonov
warns
German Ambassador Pourtalès of the dangers of an Austrian
ultimatum
Russia.France.
==In St. Petersburg, Poincaré
pledges
that France will fulfill “all her obligations,” rejects a British
proposal
for Russian-Austrian talks, warns Austrian Ambassador
Szápáry
“The Russian people are very warm friends of the Serbians, and France
is
Russia’s ally,” and tells French Ambassador Paléologue that
“Sazonov
must be firm and we must support him.”
July 22
Germany.Austria-Hungary.
==[afternoon] > German
Foreign
Minister Jagow approves the text of the pending Austrian ultimatum to
Serbia
==Through the German Ambassador,
Austria
asks Germany what the best way is to deliver its declaration of war to
Serbia (the query is received on Jul.24)
Britain.Germany.
==From Ambassador Bunsen in Vienna,
Grey
learns of the extreme nature of the pending Austrian ultimatum to
Serbia
- he warns Ambassador Lichnowsky against German support for
Austria
Ottoman Empire.Germany.
==Turkish leader Enver explicitly
seeks
an alliance with Germany - Germany abruptly decides to accept
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