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(3) The Crisis
Breaks, July
23 - July 27, 1914
July 23
Russia.
==[400.AM] > Russian
Foreign Minister
Sazonov transmits a strong warning to Austria against making excessive
demands on Serbia - the message is still undelivered when Austria
presents
its ultimatum to Serbia
Austria-Hungary.Serbia.
==[600.PM] > AUSTRIA-HUNGARY
DELIVERS A HARSH 48-HOUR ULTIMATUM TO SERBIA - THE JULY CRISIS COMES
OUT
IN THE OPEN - ~Serbia quickly appeals to Russia for support
Russia.France.
==[1100.PM] > The
Poincaré
mission departs from St. Petersburg after issuing a communiqué
describing French-Russian views on the Balkans as “absolutely
identical”
- the first incomplete news of the Austrian ultimatum to Serbia arrives
just after the mission sails
Germany.
==The German
Army stops officers’ leave
Britain.
==The Royal Navy completes its
training
exercises and begins to head for its home ports
==Unaware of the breaking crisis,
Lloyd
George urges naval cutbacks in response to improved relations with
Germany
Austria-Hungary.Bulgaria.
==Berchtold seeks Bulgarian
neutrality
rather than an alliance, in an attempt to localize the impending war
with
Serbia
July 24
France.
==[200.AM] > French
President Poincaré
urges Austria to be moderate in its demands, unaware that its ultimatum
has already been sent
Russia.
==[700.AM] > A complete
account
of the Austrian ultimatum reaches St. Petersburg from Belgrade
Austria-Hungary.
==[morning] > Austria
notifies
the European powers of its ultimatum to Serbia
Serbia.
==[1000.AM] > A frightened
Serbian
Council of Ministers meets and decides to comply with most Austrian
demands
and play for time - ~Serbian Regent Prince Alexander cables Russia for
support
Russia.
==[late morning] > Upon
learning
of the Austrian ultimatum, the enraged Russian Foreign Minister Sazonov
exclaims “That’s a European war!” - he conducts a hostile interview
with
Austrian Ambassador Szápáry - an attempt is made to order
a partial mobilization against Austria, though Russia has prepared no
such
plans
Russia.France.Britain.
==[midday] > Sazonov lunches with
the
French and British Ambassadors - without authorization,
Paléologue
pledges complete French support, and repeats the pledge on Jul.25;
Buchanan
cautiously remains neutral
Russia.
==[300.PM] > The
Russian Council
of Ministers decides to back Serbia to the extent of war, if necessary
Britain.
==[afternoon] > The text
of the
Austrian ultimatum arrives in London during a Cabinet meeting - Grey
calls
it “the most formidable document that was ever addressed from one State
to another,” but reacts mildly, urging Austria to extend the deadline
and
suggesting mediation by Britain, Germany, France, and Italy - Asquith
writes
“We are within measurable... distance of a real Armageddon.
Happily,
there seems to be no reason why we should be more than spectators.” -
the
unruffled British Cabinet leaves London for the weekend
Russia.Austria-Hungary.
==[700.PM] > Sazonov
bluntly tells
the shaken German Ambassador Pourtalès “If Austria-Hungary
swallows
Serbia, we will go to war with her.”
Russia.Serbia.
==[evening] > Sazonov
advises Serbia
not to resist an attack by Austria
France.
==[evening] > Ambassador
Paul Cambon
returns to Paris from London, recalled to assist the confused French
Acting
Foreign Minister Bienvenu-Martin, who has grown alarmed at Russia’s
tough
stance - ~French War Minister Messimy informs Chief of Staff Joffre
that
a war is likely
Germany.
==Bethmann sends the Entente powers
a
note supporting the Austrian ultimatum and warns that intervention will
“bring about inestimable consequences”
==Germany first learns the details
of
Austria’s timetable for dealing with Serbia, and is alarmed by the slow
pace
==A meeting is held at the German
War
Ministry on how to handle national minorities and socialists on the
outbreak
of war - Interior Minister Delbrück squashes a plan for mass
arrests
==Still on his yachting vacation,
Kaiser
Wilhelm first sees the Austrian ultimatum in a Norwegian newspaper
==(to Jul.25) > From Berlin,
French Ambassador
Jules Cambon warns that Germany is committed to fully supporting
Austria
Belgium.
==Belgium pledges to uphold its
neutrality
“whatever the consequences”
July 25
Britain.Germany.
==[morning] > From London,
German
Ambassador Lichnowsky forcefully argues that unless Germany drops its
pretence
of innocence and agrees to help mediate the crisis, Britain will turn
hostile
- ~he makes repeated strong appeals for British-German cooperation
Greece.Germany.
==[morning] > Responding
to Serbian
requests for aid, Greek Premier Venizelos warns Germany that if
Bulgaria
attacks Serbia, Greece will aid Serbia
Russia.
==[1100.AM] > A
Russian Imperial
Council at Tsarkoe Selo decrees a ‘Period Preparatory to War’,
although the Czar refuses a partial mobilization - growing Russian
anger
against Austria - ~Russia officially expresses “the greatest anxiety”
and
warns that it “cannot remain indifferent” to Austrian threats against
Serbia
- ~German observers report obvious war preparations
Germany.
==[late morning-late afternoon]
> To placate Entente diplomats, Jagow makes empty attempts to
persuade
Austria to extend its deadline, while secretly urging that it quickly
attack
Serbia - Germany credibility is damaged
Austria-Hungary.Russia.
==[midday] > Berchtold
rejects
an urgent Russian request to extend the deadline for the ultimatum to
Serbia
Serbia.
==[early afternoon] >
Russian support
emboldens Serbia
Germany.
==[afternoon] > Alarmed by
developments,
the Kaiser ends his yacht trip to Norway and orders the German High
Seas
Fleet to return to home waters
Serbia.Austria-Hungary.
==[300.PM] > Serbia
orders mobilization
==[558.PM] > Two minutes
short
of the deadline, Pasic delivers Serbia’s clever and evasive reply
to
the Austrian ultimatum - Austrian Ambassador Giesl quickly judges it
unsatisfactory
==[630.PM] > Austria
breaks
relations with Serbia, and its diplomatic staff departs Belgrade -
~the Serbian government and the foreign embassies leave Belgrade for
Nish
Russia.
==[800.PM] > Ambassador
Buchanan
wires London that Russia “will face all the risks of war” to prevent
Austria
from crushing Serbia
Austria-Hungary.Germany.
==[evening] > Jubilant
crowds in
Austria and Germany celebrate the rupture with Serbia - ~British
Ambassador
Bunsen reports from Austria “War is thought to be imminent .. Wildest
enthusiasm
prevails in Vienna.”
Austria-Hungary.Serbia.
==[953.PM] > Conrad
receives orders
for a partial Austrian mobilization against Serbia, to begin Jul.28 -
~the
Austrian Council of Ministers transfers some jurisdiction to military
courts
Russia.
==[1159.PM] > Russian
troops are
ordered to report to their standing quarters - ~Russian military cadets
are promoted to officer rank
Austria-Hungary.Serbia.
==(to Jul.26) > The vacationing
Serbian
Chief of Staff Putnik is briefly detained near Budapest by
Austro-Hungarian
authorities, before being released on Franz Joseph’s orders
Austria-Hungary.
==An Austrian report estimates that
its
artillery has only about 500 shells per gun
Germany.
==German Chief of Staff Moltke and
Prussian
War Minister Falkenhayn return to Berlin from their vacations
==The first German warship passes
through
the recently widened Kiel Canal
==The German Social Democrats
condemn
Austria’s ultimatum to Serbia
France.
==The Echo de Paris portrays
Germany
as openly threatening the Entente - ~the start of rising anger against
the Central Powers in the French press
==From Berlin, Ambassador Jules
Cambon
advises that France quietly begin making military preparations - French
generals are recalled to duty
Britain.
==Grey notifies his ministers in
France
and Russia that British public opinion won’t sanction a war to defend
Serbia
==British Foreign Undersecretary
Crowe
writes in a memo to Grey that the crisis is caused by Germany’s drive
for
hegemony- he advocates open British support of the Entente against
Germany
Italy.Serbia.
==Italian Foreign Minister San
Giuliano
recommends that Serbia nominally accept all Austrian demands, and then
entangle Austria in prolonged negotiations
United States.
==The American public suddenly
becomes
aware of the threat of war in Europe
July 26
Russia.Germany.
==[100-326.AM] > War
Minister Sukhomlinov
partially calls up the Russian reserves, tightens security, and puts
bases
on alert throughout European Russia, including near the German frontier
- ~although assured that this is directed solely against Austria, Germany
begins to become very alarmed by Russian war preparations
Germany.
==[morning] > The Kaiser
angrily
refuses Bethmann’s requests to rescind his order bringing home the
German
fleet
Britain.Germany.
==[morning] > King George
V tells
Prince Henry of Prussia that Britain desires neutrality
Russia.Austria-Hungary.
==[early afternoon] > In a
friendly
talk with Austrian Ambassador Szápáry, Sazonov urges
direct
talks
Britain.Europe.
==[300.PM] > Grey
proposes a
4-power conference of himself with the French, German and Italian
Ambassadors
in London, during which Austria will suspend military operations -
German
Ambassador Lichnowsky eagerly supports the idea
Britain.
==[405.PM] > Admiral
Battenberg
secretly orders the British fleet to remain concentrated at Portland
and
prevents the release of naval reservists
France.
==[430.PM] > After
learning of
German military preparations, France recalls troops on leave
Russia.Germany.
==[late evening] > In St.
Petersburg,
German Ambassador Pourtalès warns that Russian war preparations
could provoke German mobilization, but suggests an Austro-Serbian
compromise
- Sazonov readily encourages it - ~Berlin ignores Pourtalès’
plan
France.
==[night] > Paris urgently
requests
that President Poincaré and Premier Viviani return from their
trip
abroad
Austria-Hungary.
==Giving in to German pressure,
Berchtold
decides to declare war on Serbia quickly, although Conrad warns that an
invasion won’t be possible for weeks
Austria-Hungary.Serbia.
==A Hungarian fort briefly fires at
a
Serbian troopship on the Sava River at Temes-Kubin
Montenegro.
==Montenegro, closely aligned with
Serbia,
orders mobilization
Germany.
==An article in the semi-official North
German Gazette portrays an Austrian attack on Serbia as
unavoidable,
and warns the powers against interfering
==By now anticipating a general war,
Germany
adopts the official policy of blaming Russia
Germany.Belgium.
==German Chief of Staff Moltke
prepares
a ultimatum to be given to Belgium, demanding entry for German forces
to
counter a fictitious French invasion - it will be sent to the German
Ambassador
in Brussels on Jul.29 and delivered to the Belgian government on Aug.02
July 27
Britain.
==[morning] > Churchill
announces
that part of the British Home Fleet will not disperse after the end of
its annual exercises: the implied threat is ignored by Germany -
~Churchill
orders the British Mediterranean Fleet to prepare to shadow potentially
hostile warships
Germany.Britain.
==[100.PM] > Germany
refuses
Grey’s proposed ambassadors’ mediation conference
Russia.
==[afternoon] > Sazonov
makes a
garbled proposal that the powers’ ministers in Belgrade monitor Serbian
behavior
France.Britain.
==[130.PM] > France agrees
to Grey’s
proposed ambassadors’ mediation conference
Germany.
==[310.PM] > Having
returned to
Potsdam from his vacation, the Kaiser meets with Bethmann and the Army
chiefs; the mood is temporarily optimistic - one participant writes: “I
have the impression that it will all blow over.” - the Kaiser isn’t
told
that Germany has rejected Grey’s mediation proposal
Britain.
==[afternoon] > British
Foreign
Undersecretary Crowe notes that Russian mobilization will bring on
German
mobilization, which will instantly bring on French mobilization so that
“within twenty-four hours His Majesty’s Government will be faced with
the
question” of whether to “stand idly aside, or take sides.”
Austria-Hungary.
==[437.PM] > German
Ambassador
Tschirschky reports that Austria will reject any negotiated settlement
and will declare war within a day or two, the date moved up under
German
pressure
Russia.Austria-Hungary.
==[evening] > Sazonov
seeks to
“build a golden bridge” for Austria by direct talks - the proposals are
discussed across Europe, but Germany declines to press the idea on
Vienna
Austria-Hungary.
==[evening] > Austria
draws up
a declaration of war against Serbia
Germany.Italy.Austria-Hungary.
==[900.PM] > Germany
strongly urges
Austria to secure the Italian alliance by offering compensation to Rome
Germany.Britain.Austria-Hungary.
==[late night] > Trying to
appear
more conciliatory, Jagow forwards Grey’s proposal for a four-power
conference
to Austria, but urges them to reject it - British faith in German
assurances
collapses
Austria-Hungary.
==(to Jul.28) > Misled by garbled
accounts
of the Temes-Kubin incident on Jul.26, Berchtold believes that Serbia
has
already fired on Austrian forces and refuses all peace proposals
==Franz Joseph tells Giesl, the
former
Ambassador to Serbia: “We are not at war yet, and if I can, I shall
prevent
it.”
==The Vienna Stock Exchange is
closed
Russia.
==A Russian staff conference decides
that
a partial mobilization against Austria would be suicidal
Germany.Russia.
==Jagow repeatedly promises that
Germany
will not mobilize against Russia if Russia only mobilizes against
Austria
Germany.France.
==From Berlin, French Ambassador
Jules
Cambon accurately predicts that if Germany is threatened by Russian
mobilization
it will immediately launch a crushing offensive against France
France.Russia.
==Poincaré and Viviani again
pledge
their full support to Russia “in the interests of peace.”- they cancel
their remaining state visits and head back towards France
France.
==France begins implementing
railroad
security
==The French Foreign Minister is
compelled
to permit the Sûréte (French intelligence) to resume the
decoding
of diplomatic wires, though it is unable to attain full efficiency for
another two months
==The French command in Morocco is
ordered
to evacuate the interior and send most of its troops to France - French
Resident-General Lyautey comments “A war among Europeans is a civil
war.
It is the most monumental folly the world has ever committed.”
Britain.
==Grey describes his proposed
mediatory
ambassadors’ conference to the Commons
==The July Crisis finally makes the
lead
story in the London Times, with the headline “PEACE IN THE
BALANCE”
Italy.Britain.
==Italy agrees to Grey’s proposed
ambassadors’
conference to mediate the Serbian crisis - Italy unsuccessfully
proposes
that the demands on Serbia be enforced by the powers rather than by
Austria
alone
International.
==The International Trade Union
Conference
is held in Brussels - the German unions refuse to respond to the French
CGT’s call for a strike to stop war preparations
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