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(4) The Height
of the Crisis,
July 28 - July 31, 1914
July 28
Germany.Britain.
==[200.AM] > Bethmann
wires German
Ambassador Lichnowsky in London, rejecting talks based on Serbia’s
reply
Serbia.Russia.
==[morning] > ~Serbia
receives
a wire from the Czar pledging “that Russia will in no case disinterest
herself in the fate of Serbia” - Serbian Premier Pasic weeps and
embraces
the Russian envoy
Germany.
==[1000.AM] > Unaware that
Austria
is about to declare war, the Kaiser is astonished when he finally reads
the Serbian reply of Jul.25: “…with it every reason for war drops
away…”
- he orders that Austria be advised to be conciliatory and proposes
that
Austrian military operations be limited to an occupation of Belgrade
Austria-Hungary.Serbia.
==[1100.AM] > AUSTRIA-HUNGARY
DECLARES WAR ON SERBIA - THE START OF WORLD WAR I
Germany.
==[midday] > Bethmann
receives
the Kaiser’s orders to open a peace process with Serbia - Bethmann
hesitates
Serbia.Austria-Hungary.
==[early afternoon] >
Serbian Premier
Pasic receives the Austrian declaration of war while eating lunch in
the
Hotel Europa in Nish
Russia.Britain.
==[300.PM] > Sazonov meets
with
British Ambassador Buchanan, states that Russia will mobilize against
Austria
the day that Serbia is invaded, and urgently asks Britain to declare to
Germany its full support for Russia and France
Russia.Germany.
==[~330.PM] > Angry encounter
between
German Ambassador Pourtalès and Sazonov, who accuses Germany and
Austria of engineering the crisis
Russia.France.
==[~400.PM] > Exceeding
his instructions,
French Ambassador Paléologue assures Sazonov of France’s
“complete
readiness…to fulfill its alliance obligations…” with Russia
Russia.
==[~late afternoon] >
Sazonov is
frightened by news of the Austrian declaration of war against Serbia
and
asks that orders for both partial and general Russian mobilizations be
prepared, after being told by Chief of Staff Yanushkevich that a
partial
mobilization is dangerous
Britain.
==[500.PM] > The Royal
Navy is
ordered to Scapa Flo and to its other war stations
Germany.
==[639.PM] > Berlin
receives word
of the Austrian declaration of war - ~German Chief of Staff Moltke is
agreeable
to the Kaiser’s conciliatory approach
Britain.Germany.
==[615.PM] > Grey asks
Germany
to propose the form of mediation desired by Austria and Germany
Russia.Austria-Hungary.Germany.
==[evening] > After
consulting
the Czar, Sazonov announces that partial mobilization against Austria
will
commence on Jul.29 - Russia attempts to reassure Germany
Austria-Hungary.Britain.
==[evening] > After
receiving it
through Germany, Berchtold rejects Grey’s proposed four-power mediation
as “too late”
Germany.Austria-Hungary.
==[1015.PM] > Bethmann
urgently
asks Austria to make overtures to Russia and limit military action to
the
occupation of Belgrade, in a weak and belated German peace attempt
Austria-Hungary.Germany.
==[1100.PM] > After
frantic requests
from Conrad, Berchtold asks Germany to threaten to mobilize in order to
force Russia to quickly drop its threatened mobilization against
Austria
Austria-Hungary.Serbia.
==[night, to early.AM Jul.29]
> The
first shots of World War I: Austrian gunboats on the Sava River
fire
on Serbian positions near Belgrade, often misreported as a heavy
bombardment
of the city - the Serbs blow the Sava bridge at Zemun
Germany.
==German War Minister Falkenhayn
orders
all troops on maneuvers to return to their garrisons
France.Germany.
==French Acting Foreign Minister
Bienvenu-Martin
condemns Germany’s active support of Austria, telling German Ambassador
Schoen that “The best means of avoiding a general war is by preventing
a local one.”
France.Russia.
==Joffre assures Russian Military
Attaché
Ignatiev of France’s “full and active readiness faithfully to execute
her
responsibilities as an ally.”
Britain.
==In the House of Commons, Grey
predicts
that a general war “…cannot but end in the greatest catastrophe that
has
ever befallen the continent of Europe at one blow…the consequences of
it,
direct and indirect, would be incalculable.”
==(to Jul.31) > The London Stock
Exchange
plummets
Italy.Austria-Hungary.
==Italian Foreign Minister San
Giuliano
warns that without compensation Italy will not aid Austria
Ottoman Empire.Germany.
==The Turks offer Germany specific
terms
for a secret offensive-defensive alliance against Russia - Germany
replies
favorably within the day
Bulgaria.
==Bulgaria declares its neutrality
United States.
==The New York Times reports
“A
general European war is unthinkable... Europe can’t afford such a war,
and the world can’t afford it, and happily the conviction is growing
that
such an appalling conflict is altogether beyond the realm of
possibility.”
July 29
Russia.Germany.
==[100.AM, to Aug.02] > The
Czar and the Kaiser exchange the increasingly frantic ‘Willy-Nicky’
telegrams
- the Czar wires “I foresee that very soon I will be overwhelmed by the
pressure brought against me…”
Germany.Austria-Hungary.
==[430.AM] > Bethmann
sends Telegram
174, an ambiguous attempt to limit Austria to an occupation of Belgrade
- German Ambassador Tschirschky hesitates to deliver it
Russia.
==[720.AM] > Without
authorization,
Russian Chief of Staff Yanushkevich tells his generals that a general
mobilization
will begin on Jul.30 - ~the Czar signs both partial and general
mobilization
decrees
Britain.
==[700.AM] > The British
First
Fleet departs Portland for Scapa Flo, passing through the Straits of
Dover
in the night
==[morning] > A British
Cabinet
meeting bitterly divides over the European crisis: most members
strongly
support neutrality in opposition to Grey and Asquith - there is
uncertainty
on how to react if Germany invades Belgium
France.
==[early afternoon] >
Poincaré
and Viviani finally arrive back in Paris, traveling through fervent
patriotic
demonstrations
Britain.
==[200.PM] > British
government
departments are instructed to implement war precautions - ~authorities
throughout the Empire, including the Royal Navy, are ordered to a state
of readiness - ~the Committee for Imperial Defense opens its War Book -
~the Cabinet rejects Churchill’s request to mobilize the fleet
==[afternoon] > When
Austrian Ambassador
Mensdorff says it’s too late for a settlement with Serbia, Grey
responds
“Then it is perhaps too late also to avert a general war.” - Grey
declines
to give assurances to French Ambassador Paul Cambon, but grimly warns
German
Ambassador Lichnowsky that Britain might intervene in a French-German
conflict
Russia.Austria-Hungary.
==[late afternoon] >
Sazonov ominously
warns Austrian Ambassador Szápáry that “Russian interests
were identical with those of Serbia;” he angrily ends the meeting when
he’s informed of the Austrian shelling of Belgrade
Germany.Russia.
==[late afternoon] >
Berlin learns
of the imminent Russian partial mobilization and receives reports that
Russian forces are moving to frontier assembly points - Jagow angrily
tells
Russian Ambassador Sverbejev that “Germany would be obliged to
mobilize
as well. There was therefore nothing more to do: from now on
diplomats
would have to let the cannons talk.”
Germany.
==[late afternoon] >
~Moltke is
aware that an Austrian mobilization will provoke a Russian one and
bring
on a general war, which he describes as “the mutual butchery of the
civilized
nations of Europe”… but he urges Bethmann to stand firm
==[440.PM] > Bethmann and
German
military leaders meet with the Kaiser, who refuses to allow Bethmann to
propose a naval accord to ensure British neutrality
Russia.Germany.
==[700.PM] > German
Ambassador
Pourtalès warns Sazonov that Russian preparations will force a
German
mobilization - Sazonov is convinced that a general war is virtually
inevitable
France.Germany.
==[530-730.PM] > The
French Council
of Ministers meets - German Ambassador Schoen warns Premier Viviani
against
undertaking preparations for war
Russia.
==[800.PM] > The Czar
briefly approves
a general Russian mobilization
Russia.Germany.
==[940.PM] > The Czar
receives
a telegram from the Kaiser warning that Russian war preparations will
cause
a European war - the Czar cancels the Russian general mobilization
Austria-Hungary.Germany.
==[late evening] > German
Ambassador
Tschirschky at last mentions Bethmann’s restraining Telegram 174 to
Austria,
but Berchtold refuses to limit military action against Serbia
Germany.Britain.
==[1100.PM] > The
‘infamous offer’:
unaware of Grey’s warnings to Lichnowsky, Bethmann proposes to British
Ambassador Goschen that in the event of a German-French war, Germany
will
not annex French territory if Britain pledges neutrality - Britain is
not
impressed
Russia.Austria-Hungary.
==[midnight] > Russia
orders
a partial mobilization directed against Austria
Serbia.
==Prince Alexander issues a war
manifesto
calling on Serbs to “Defend your homes, hearths, and Serbia with all
your
strength.”
Serbia.Austria-Hungary.
==(to Aug.12) > Austrians make
eighteen
unsuccessful attempts to cross the Danube between Belgrade and
Gradishte
Germany.
==The German fleet is mobilizing
Britain.Ottoman
Empire.
==The British Admiralty considers
the
seizure of the just-completed Turkish dreadnought Sultan Osman I just
as five hundred Turkish sailors arrive at the Tyne to fetch her
Belgium.
==Belgium strengthens the
fortifications
at Liège
Italy.Austria-Hungary.
==An Austrian proposal that does not
promise
compensation for Italy is angrily rejected by Foreign Minister San
Giuliano,
who is planning to declare Italian neutrality rather than honor its
alliance
with Austria and Germany
Italy.
==Italian Chief of Staff Cadorna
recommends
moving fortress artillery from the Austrian to the French border - the
proposal is approved by the King on Aug.02
Africa.
==Defensive precautions are
undertaken
in French Equatorial Africa
International.
==(to Jul.30) > International
socialist
leaders hold an emergency meeting in Brussels, with Jaurès,
Haase,
Luxemburg, Adler, and Hardie in attendance - the Frenchman
Jaurès
and the German Haase publicly embrace, despite a “sense of hopelessness
and frustration” - the International Socialist Congress is rescheduled
from Aug.23 in Vienna to Aug.09 in Paris, but it will be overtaken by
events
July 30
Austria-Hungary.Germany.
==[100.AM] > Berchtold
notifies
Germany that unless Russia immediately suspends its partial
mobilization,
Austria will order a general mobilization - he asks for German support
against Russia but refuses German attempts to restrict an Austrian
invasion
of Serbia
Russia.Austria-Hungary.
==[200.AM] > Sazonov tells
Ambassador
Pourtalès that Russia will halt its mobilization if Austria
drops
any demands that threaten Serbian sovereignty - Vienna is not notified
Germany.Austria-Hungary.
==[300.AM] > Bethmann
frantically
wires demands that Austria open talks with Russia - the first serious
German
attempt to restrain Austria
Russia.France.
==[300.AM] > Russia
informs France
of its partial mobilization - France urges caution
France.Russia.
==[700.AM] > Premier
Viviani wires
French support for Russia, but cautions against provoking Germany
France.Britain.
==[700.AM] > Viviani
reminds Grey
of British obligations to France in the event of war
France.
==[700.AM] > After
receiving exaggerated
reports of German preparations, General Joffre asks permission to bring
the French frontier forces to wartime strength
Russia.
==[morning] > Premier
Goremykin
tries to persuade the Czar not to involve Russia in a war
Serbia.
==[morning] > Serbian
Prime Minister
Pasic publicizes exaggerated accounts of the Austrian shelling of
Belgrade
Germany.Russia.
==[morning] > Upon
receiving a
telegram from the Czar announcing the partial Russia mobilization, the
Kaiser angrily writes “…then I must mobilize too!” - feeling betrayed
by
Russia and Britain, he briefly abandons his attempts at mediation
Russia.
==[1100.AM] > Exaggerated
reports
of Austrian and German war preparations convince Sazonov and the
Russian
military chiefs that a general mobilization is imperative - the Czar
refuses
France.Russia.
==[930.AM] > The French
Council
of Ministers meets - it decides not to ask Russia to end its partial
mobilization
Germany.Russia.
==[noon] > Berlin learns
that the
Russian partial mobilization is far more extensive than it has realized
Germany.
==[200.PM] > The Berlin
paper Lokal
Anzeiger prematurely reports that Germany has ordered a
mobilization
- ~exaggerated rumors of German military preparations
Germany.Austria-Hungary.
==[200.PM] > Moltke is
terrified
to learn that Austria is putting its Galician forces on the defensive,
thereby exposing East Prussia to a Russian attack - he frantically
urges
Austria to immediately order a general mobilization against Russia
Russia.
==[310-400.PM] > In a
tense meeting
Sazonov persuades the Czar to proclaim a general mobilization
Germany.
==[300.PM] > Bethmann
resists Moltke’s
demands for a German general mobilization
Austria-Hungary.Germany.
==[afternoon?] > German
Ambassador
Tschirschky tells a shocked Berchtold that Germany is now demanding
that
Austria open talks with Russia - Austria refuses to restrict its
military
operations
Britain.Germany.
==[330.PM] > Grey rejects
Bethmann’s
call for British neutrality, but pledges to reach a settlement with
Germany
in return for cooperation in ending the crisis - ~he proposes to
Germany
that a settlement might be reached if Austria halts after taking
Belgrade
Germany.Russia.
==[430.PM] > Berlin
receives Sazonov’s
proposal to halt the Russian mobilization if Austria respects Serbian
sovereignty
- the suggestion is simultaneously pursued by Bethmann and rejected by
Jagow
Austria-Hungary.
==[late afternoon?] >
Without consulting
Germany, an Austrian Imperial Conference decides to order a general
mobilization
directed against Serbia, to be announced Aug.01
Russia.
==[600.PM] > Russia
orders a
general mobilization, but does not immediately notify the other
powers:
the first official day will be Aug 4 - red mobilization notices are
publicly
posted during the night - A EUROPEAN GENERAL WAR BECOMES VIRTUALLY
INEVITABLE
France.
==[500.PM] > France orders
a cautious
troop buildup near the German frontier, keeping troops ten kilometers
from
the border
Germany.
==[845.PM] > Under intense
pressure
from Moltke and Falkenhayn, Bethmann agrees to decide by noon on Jul.31
whether to decree a State of Imminent War
Germany.Austria-Hungary.
==[900.PM] > A desperate
Bethmann
urgently advises Austria to accept Grey’s four-power mediation proposal
Austria-Hungary.Russia.
==[evening?] > In a
cordial meeting,
Berchtold tells Ambassador Schebeko that Austria is willing to open
direct
talks with Russia - very brief revival of optimism among the powers
Germany.Austria-Hungary.
==[1120.PM] > Bethmann
suspends
attempts to pressure Austria into accepting a settlement after
receiving
early reports of the Russian general mobilization
Russia.Austria-Hungary.
==[late evening] >
Austrian Ambassador
Szápáry is ordered to resume talks with Sazonov - he
hesitates
till Jul.31
Britain.Germany.
==[1010.PM] > King George
V conveys
Grey’s latest peace proposal to Germany: Britain and Germany are to
jointly
ensure that Austria stops in Belgrade while Russia stands down
France.Russia.
==[late night] > Paris
learns hints
of the Russian general mobilization, but makes no attempt to dissuade
Moscow
or to inform either Britain or the French public
Serbia.
==A Serbian emergency legislative
session
at Nish loudly cheers a bellicose speech by Prince Alexander - ~the
Serbs
decide to defend Belgrade, surprising the powers
Russia.
==The Russian Baltic and Black Sea
fleets
begin to mobilize
Germany.Britain.
==An angry Kaiser comments on Gray’s
Jul.29
warning to Lichnowsky: “Common cur! England alone bears the
responsibility
for peace and war, not we any longer! That must be made clear to
the world.” - he blames the crisis on a plot by the late Edward VII and
orders German agents to foment Moslem revolts against the British
Empire:
“If we are to bleed to death, England shall at the very least loose
India.”
Germany.
==The Berliner Morgenpost
prints Last
Warning by the moderate socialist Bernstein, predicting millions
will
be killed and maimed and a vast national debt will be incurred if
war erupts
==Bethmann tells the Prussian
Minister
of State that the Social Democrats are no threat to German war
preparations
Britain.France.
==Grey is unable to tell French
Ambassador
Paul Cambon what the British response would be if Germany attacked
France
Britain.
==(to Jul.31) > The London Times
begins insisting that Britain support the Entente; most of the British
press still prefers neutrality
==Sir John French is designated the
commander
of the British Expeditionary Force
==All parties in Parliament agree to
adjourn
the debate on the Irish Amending Bill indefinitely in order to “present
a united front” in the European crisis, as Asquith puts it
Italy.
==The Italian fleet mobilizes off
Gaeta
Germany.Greece.
==The Kaiser attempts to pressure
King
Constantine of Greece into a German alliance
Canada.
==The Canadian Militia Council
discusses
raising 25,000 men
New Zealand.
==New Zealand begins preparations
for
raising an expeditionary force
Netherlands.
==The Netherlands declares
neutrality
July 31
Germany.Austria-Hungary.
==[245.AM] > Contradicting
his
earlier wire, Bethmann orders Ambassador Tschirschky to present King
George
V’s peace proposal to Berchtold
Germany.Russia.
==[700.AM] > A German
officer in
East Prussia reports to Berlin that Russia has posted mobilization
notices
and sealed the border
Russia.Germany.
==[morning] > German
Ambassador
Pourtalès learns of the Russian mobilization and warns Sazonov
that
Germany will mobilize in response
Germany.Britain.
==[morning] > Ambassador
Goschen
presents Grey’s offer of a general British-German settlement to
Bethmann,
who is too upset by accelerating Russian military activity to listen
Austria-Hungary.
==[morning] > Bemused by
contradictory
German advice, the Austrian Council of Ministers rejects Grey’s
proposed
mediation and declines to pledge any compensation to Italy
Britain.Germany.
==[morning] > Grey
virtually offers
British neutrality to German Ambassador Lichnowsky if Austria agrees to
reasonable terms
Britain.
==[morning] > Lord
Rothschild and
a group of financiers meet with Lloyd George, fervently urging Britain
to maintain neutrality
==[1000.AM] > The London
Stock
Exchange closes until further notice, after severe losses - the British
bank rate is rising sharply to record levels - Churchill writes “The
City
has simply broken into chaos. The world’s credit system is
virtually
suspended.”
Germany.Russia.
==[1155.AM] > Bethmann
receives
a direct report from Ambassador Pourtalès confirming Russian
general
mobilization
Britain.France.
==[late morning?] > The
British
Cabinet refuses to make any commitments to France despite Grey’s
recommendations
Russia.Germany.
==[early afternoon] > As
German
Ambassador Pourtalès warns the Czar that Russian mobilization
will
provoke a war; the Czar points upwards and says “Then there is only One
who still can help.”
Austria-Hungary.
==[1230.PM] > Austria
orders
a general mobilization that will commence Aug.04; ~political
administration is turned over to the military, including control of the
railroads and communications
Germany.
==[100.PM] > Germany
declares
a State of Imminent War, allowing a declaration of martial law and
the sealing of the frontiers - Bethmann resists Moltke’s demands to
mobilize
and declare war on Russia immediately - ~a run on German banks and a
sharp
rise in food prices occurs
Russia.Germany.
==[200.PM] > The Czar
wires the
Kaiser that the Russian mobilization cannot be halted but is not
intended
as an act of war
==[200.PM] > The Kaiser
wires the
Czar that peace depends on Russia halting its mobilization
Russia.Austria-Hungary.
==[afternoon] > Austrian
Ambassador
Szápáry has friendly but unproductive talks with a shaken
Sazonov
France.
==[200.PM] > Fearing
imminent war
with Germany, General Joffre forcefully warns against delaying French
mobilization
Germany.France.
==[330.PM] > German
Ambassador
Schoen is instructed to demand that France declare neutrality within 18
hours, and turn over the fortresses of Verdun and Toul to Germany as
pledges
Germany.Russia.
==[330.PM] > The German
12-hour
ultimatum to Russia is wired to Ambassador Pourtalès in St.
Petersburg
Britain.France.
==[afternoon?] > Grey
informs the
worried French Ambassador Paul Cambon that Britain cannot at the moment
be held to any pledge that has been made to France
==[afternoon] > A special
message
from Poincaré to King George V calls on Britain to aid France in
her time of danger - the British reply is guarded
France.Germany.Russia.
==[330.PM] > Paris learns
from
Ambassador Jules Cambon in Berlin that Russia has ordered a general
mobilization
and that Germany will soon do the same
Germany.Austria-Hungary.
==[600.PM] > A worried
Moltke phones
Vienna to warn that Germany is about to order mobilization and demands
that Austria concentrate its forces against Russia instead of Serbia,
asking
“Is Austria going to leave us in the lurch?”
Britain.Belgium.
==[530.PM] > Grey asks
Germany
and France to pledge to respect Belgian neutrality
France.
==[540.PM] > The French
cabinet
orders accelerated military preparations
Britain.Russia.
==[640.PM] > Britain is
belatedly
informed of the Russian mobilization by Ambassador Buchanan in St.
Petersburg
France.Germany.
==[700-730.PM] > German
Ambassador
Schoen warns French Premier Viviani that war is imminent and demands to
know what France will do in a Russian-German conflict - Viviani delays
his response
France.
==[early evening] > In an
angry
confrontation with French Foreign Undersecretary Ferry, Socialist
leader
Jaurès declares “To the very end, we will continue to struggle
against
war.” - Ferry prophetically replies “You will be assassinated on the
nearest
street corner.”
Germany.
==[evening] > The Kaiser
speaks
to a Berlin crowd from a palace balcony, telling them to ask God to
help
the German Army - they respond with wild cheering
France.Russia.
==[830.PM] > France
finally receives
confirmation of the Russian mobilization from Ambassador
Paléologue
Britain.
==[evening] > British
Foreign Undersecretary
Nicolson writes Grey “It is useless to shut our eyes to the fact that
possibly
within the next 24 hours Germany will be moving across the French
frontier.”
Italy.France.
==[evening] > Italy
secretly informs
France that it no longer feels bound to its obligations to the Triple
Alliance
with Germany and Austria
France.
==[900.PM] > French
socialist
leader Jean Jaurès is assassinated in a Paris restaurant by
an extreme monarchist
==[900.PM-late] > A French
Cabinet
meeting fears that Jaurès’ murder will provoke risings in Paris,
but decides against the mass arrest of extremists - mobilization is to
be declared Aug.01
Germany.Belgium.
==[late evening] > Germany
evades
a British request to pledge to respect Belgian neutrality
Austria-Hungary.
==[late evening] > After
repeated
warnings from Moltke, Conrad finally grasps that war with Russia is
imminent,
and prepares to concentrate Austrian forces in Galicia
Germany.Russia.
==[late night] > Moltke
convinces
a reluctant Bethmann that Germany must declare war on Russia - German
Foreign
Office officials work on the declaration of war through the morning
Russia.Germany.
==[midnight] > The
German 12-hour
ultimatum to Russia is delivered by Ambassador Pourtalès:
Germany
will mobilize unless Russia stands down - Sazonov fails to understand
that
once Germany mobilizes, war is inevitable
Russia.
==Russia begins laying mines in the
Gulf
of Finland
Germany.Belgium.
==Only now does Bethmann learn that
German
mobilization dictates an immediate attack on Liège in neutral
Belgium
Britain.
==British Foreign Undersecretary
Crowe
sends a memo to Grey maintaining that Britain must go to war if it
wishes
to remain a great power
==A weak pro-neutrality
demonstration
occurs in the House of Commons
==The British Home Fleet has reached
its
battle stations in Scotland and at Scapa Flo
Belgium.
==Belgium declares a mobilization,
to
begin Aug.01
Naval: Mediterranean.
==Churchill sends contradictory
orders
to British Mediterranean Commander Milne
Italy.
==General Cadorna informs the King
that
the Italian Army is completely unready for war
Romania.Germany.
==The Kaiser urges King Carol of
Romania
to honor his alliance with Germany and Austria
Ottoman Empire.Germany.
==Germany and the Turks hastily
reach
an agreement on the terms for an alliance
Ottoman Empire.
==Turkish mobilization is declared
for
all men between the ages of 20 to 45, to begin Aug.03
Africa.
==The German cruiser Königsberg
departs Dar-es-Salaam in German East Africa and evades British
warships,
in preparation for commerce raiding
United States.
==The New York Stock Exchange closes
for
the first time since 1873 - it will reopen Dec.12
International.
==The German Social Democrats send
Mueller
to Paris to consult with French socialists
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